Friday, May 25, 2012

FACEBOOK $31?! Some Say worth only $13.90..but Graham's Equation says...



FROM MARKET WATCH: Facebook’s stock should trade for $13.80
Commentary: Here’s a fair-price calculation for Facebook






I'LL TRY
Benjamin Graham's Equation





qrt(22.5 x 3.45 x 0.65) = 7.1032563 is Facebook(FB) that's $7.10




sqrt(22.5 x 19.83 x 1.03) = 21.4373564 is BAC



sqrt(22.5 x 47.61 x 4.25) = 67.4737449 is JPM



sqrt(22.5 x 36.92 x 11.00) = 95.5913176 is CMG. The herd needs to get in CMG at $399



Mr. Market hates BAC and JPM but loves FB and CMG, maybe it's because banks soon be obsolete and everybody will receive money from Obama which he will get from 'the rich' so everyone can afford a taco-Chipotle Mexican Grill!



sqrt(22.5 x 55.30 x 5.48) = 82.5741485 Met Life (MET)




sqrt(22.5 x 61.90 x 3.59) = 70.7104837 Citigroup (C)




But u might want to NOT buy anything because Zero Hedge knows everything and they know the world will not survive. getcha FAZ bitch!

Saturday, April 14, 2012

there was no sign of Goldman Sachs living down its nickname as "the Vampire Squid"

Attack of "the Vampire Squid"-The Goldman Sachs Project or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Banks





Goldman Sachs conquers Europe

While ordinary people fret about austerity and jobs, the eurozone's corridors of power have been undergoing a remarkable transformation--link



Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2009/04/05/65496/buffett-champion-of-bailout-is.html#storylink=c
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Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2009/04/05/65496/buffett-champion-of-bailout-is.html#storylink=cpy


Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2009/04/05/65496/buffett-champion-of-bailout-is.html#storylink=cpy

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Bruce Berkowitz February Stock Pick




Trades at less than one third book value




Core businesses generating 1% return on assets and 10% return on equity




Fortress balance sheet




Largest U.S. retail deposit market share and serves one in every two U.S. households

Operates in all 50 states and serves clients in over 100 countries


.....Sound interestiing?


Click here for Company

Roubini and Rosenberg Clown Around

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Why The Herd loved Amazon Stock, hated Citigroup

Wow! Amazon stock was $246.00 a share a few months ago--with an EPS of $1.37 a year which made it's PE be like 2 zillions(actually way past 150) wow! But, oh no--Amazon latest quarter reported .......38cents a share- a bit less than expected.   Yes, and the stock is selling off --down to $175.00 from over $200.00. But that still makes the PE way over 100! Of course, it is true that Amazon is a great company--in fact my favorite company which offers the recent Nietzsche biography by Julian Young on Kindle-Gotta have it! And sure Amazon will continue to grow and make money--sure it will--but,.........“The trouble with this company is valuations,” says Karen Finerman. "Amazon trades at an astronomically high P/E of over 100." Karen over at CNBC Fast Money is a smart lady :”10 years ago Wal-Mart was a juggernaut (like Amazon) and it traded within $1 of where the stock is right now. At that time they earned $1.45. Now they earn $4.25. In other words, they had to grow into their valuation. And that’s where I think Amazon is now. They can do everything right – triple earnings – but the stock can still go nowhere because valuations are so stretched!”-link


Citigroup stock was $22.50 a  few months ago with an EPS of $3.66 a year which made it's PE like negative 2 zillions(actually way below 10) wow! And C reported 38 cents a share this past quarter, just like Amazon. -The stock shot up a bit-today nearing  $32 which still makes it's PE a whopping 8.73! And with full year EPS at $4.00 that makes it PE still under 10!..............I wish C would sell at the same PE ratio of Amazon next week because the stock would be trading around $500........

So why is Amazon loved by herd who have been buying it like maniacs, while hatred of  C causes it to be trading under half it's tangible book value?..... I'm not sure, but maybe it's  because Amazon will double in value every 5 years like everyone said housing prices would in 2005; while big banks like Citigroup are wicked and will fail because everyone will switch to credit unions. Or maybe banks like C will become obsolete because the herd will demand that Obama force the banks to give all profits to dirty hippies so they can buy copies of the Anarachist Cookbook from Amazon.com. It should also be noted that no one will be able to pay back mortgage loans and will move to tent cities, which means buying tent supplies from Amazon.com. Or maybe it';s just that most people are mind numbed sport worshippers and TV watchers of filth(The Stuper Bowl! and TV hoes like what's her name?).


Do you get depressed when  'my TEAM lost' -an obese white male wearing a silly team cap?  Who knows?--lack of exercise, eating junk food, and anti-depresssents? I'm not sure.

It must be that we live in an age where the  government promises to create a utopia; a time when the masses are incited against civic order, with a view towards unrestrained personal freedom and indulgence for the individual----the rejection of all higher values/ideals with submission to the basest life of sensual and material pleasures while inciting the young to class warfare and resentment. Maybe both Amazon and Citigroup will go down because the destruction of the nation...

...
"The telephone interupts this thought which I should never have been able to complete. Some one is coming to sell me advice....

It looks as though it were finished, my life at the Villa Borghese. Well, I'll take this blog and move on. Things will happen elsewhere. Things are always happening. It seems wherever I go there is drama. People are like lice-they get under your skin and bury themselves there. You scratch and scratch until the blood comes, but you can't get permentantly deloused. Everywhere I go people are making a mess of their lives. Everyone has his private tragedy. It's in the blood now-misfortune, ennui, grief, suicide. The atmosphere is saturated with disaster, frustration, futility. scratch and scratch-until there's no skin left. However, the effect upon me is exhilirating. instead of being discouraged, or depressed I enjoy it. I am crying for more and more disasters, for bigger calamities, for grander failures. I want the whole world to be out of whack, I want everyone to scratch himself to death.

So fast and furiously am I compelled to live now that there is scarcely time to record even this fragmentary blog..."

                         -------Henry Miller, The Tropic Of Cancer.


It's funny a few hours after reading these words from Miller, declaring to live and crying for more disasters, I ran into a past acquaintance at a convience store----"Hey did you here about so and so?" he asked. (name witheld to protect the guilty). "No, why?" I asked. ----"Well''--he said --So and So committed suicide"

"Really?" I replied.


Saturday, January 28, 2012

Life is constantly providing us with new funds, new resources, even when we are reduced to immobility. In life's ledger there is no such thing as frozen assets.

 Here's Obama the other night at The State of the Union:

 "We learned that mortgages had been sold to people who couldn’t afford or understand them".

Obama understands that the herd are stupid mindless TV/sports watchin consumers, which is why he thinks the government must protect people.

 In 2005, it didn't matter that houses were 100%-150% cheaper only 5 years ago in 2000. To the American Idol watchin herd  it was perfectly logical that a house should at least double every 5 years in value. A house that sold for $100,000 in 2000 should be above $200,000 in 2005 and today that same house is of course $500,000!

 Back in 2005, two 'men' I knew invested in real estate while they spent their time watching sports, drinking beer, and were generally a couple of know it alls. But, they never read Nietzsche, Blake, or Dostoyevski, or any other of that boring stuff, but one of them did read some spy novel  and was famillar with the Godzilla remake. Did I hear one of them say Ken Folletts Pillars of the Earth was literature? I wondered to myself if being unfamiliar with great literature made one a great investor. It ended tragically, both spent 2008 in bankruptcy emersed in booze and pornography, one finally commiting suicide, the other is still emersed in booze and pornography with a new baby which he expects his mommy and daddy to watch.(see below)


once read a comment on Amazon about the play Death of a Salesman by Arthur Miller :  "We're all part of a system that pushes the lie that materialism measures the worth of people". People loved the banks with it's easy cash in the years 2003-2005.

People that don't invest can be just as greedy as people that do--They can't part with their precious money--what if it goes down? --boo-boo. Jesus explains: "He who had received the five talents went at once and traded with them; and he made five talents more. So also, he who had the two talents made two talents more. But he who had received the one talent went and dug in the ground and hid his master's money."

Jesus said to the first two investors:  'Well done, good and faithful servants; you have been faithful over a little, I will set you over much; enter into the joy of your master.'"

Jesus said to the third-a true mamas boy: You wicked and slothful servant. You knew that I reap where I didn't sow, and gather where I didn't scatter. You ought therefore to have deposited my money with the bankers...cast this worthless servant into the outer darkness....


 Of course, the third guy probably tithed. which reminds me:

 Giving 10% of your income to some crummy place(church) is for suckers. If that same family of fools saved that money for 20 years --well, add it up--and just think if you put that money in JNJ Div/Yield stock 20 years ago--$$$$$!


Create Your Own Inheritence: One man's Journey from Christianity to Nietzsche

" love of security be the obstacle over which the majority of people trip"-William Gayley Simpson: Toward the Rising Sun.


Part of this 'love of security" is that so many adults are still codependent on their parents. The parents are always the solutions to their problems. This is why many children have children out of wedlock. It is a way for them to remain tetherd to their Mommy and Daddy. It's up to their parents to now 'help them'. Where most real men and women want to get away from Mommy and Daddy and make a claim on their own,  these weaklings play the needy game--It's now up to the grandparents to help raise their grandchild. Even some married couples have used their parents as a free child care service.

But the chick must somehow break the shell if ever it is to step out into a larger life. Break free from the self-doubting and nervous adult child! But, why should they? The worms think: My parents will leave me an inheritence! The worms are very religious. They never learn to run – hardly even to walk. They remain crippled for life.

The higher life is about growing up. It's about raising your own children and making your own way.Away! Get away from where life is so safe and stuffy and shutin,--

I'm afraid Obama is right -people don't 'understand' what they are doing.  So, the people that don't 'understand' what they are doing need Obama, their mama and daddy and their medication.

"For this is how things are: the diminution and leveling of Europeon man constitutes OUR greatest danger, for the sight of him makes us weary."-Friedrich Nietzsche, The Geneology of Morals(1887), first essay-section 12. )

The psychological damage caused by an adult child depending on their parents inheritence for retirement is death to the soul.

We live in an age where love of security and fear of suffering as made us anxiety ridden mama's boys and girls. America is in it's demise because of this. Parents should say to their adult-child: "Raise your own g-d-mn child. My house ain't no day care center!"

And to those children--Quoting William Gayley Simpson:

"I value gentleness and harmony in human relationships, but I value trueness more. I know that there can be no real harmony based on lies. All my experience, and it is a long and most searching one, has convinced me that trueness is the truest love – in the long run. Do not fear suffering – not even causing it to others. Do not let your deepest life languish in a flower-pot. Do not succumb to the close hug of your father and mother’s hold upon you. Break it – as gently as you can, but break it. If necessary, break even them – as perhaps Jesus broke his mother Mary. First things first!”


On Investing:“Human behavior is fully as important as, if not more important than, statistical behavior.”--Art of Contrary Thinking by Humphrey Bancroft Neill-The ‘crowd’ is most enthusiastic and optimistic when it should be cautious and prudent; and is most fearful when it should be bold. The ‘crowd’ has always been found to be wrong when it counted most to be right.”--1954 book linked

  "Life is constantly providing us with new funds, new resources, even when we are reduced to immobility. In life's ledger there is no such thing as frozen assets.....

...Life, as it is called, is for most of us one long postponement"-Henry Miller



Wednesday, January 11, 2012

What? Bank stocks Popular Again? Oh, my---

CNBC says today: "Though considered market poison just a few months ago, bank stocks have roared back as investors have chosen to look past the debt crisis in Europe and instead focus on whether the industry is finally ready to stage a comeback....."

" Bank of America trading below $5 a share as recently as Dec. 19, has surged 37 percent in three weeks."

That's a shame. The herd should remain in fear. Living in fear amongst the crowd is always so cozy.  And I made a big mistake. I should of bought more near $5. I was fool for not buying more. Last batch at $5.22.  But, who knows,- maybe --maybe next week, yes, it will go bankrupt --Zero hedge and Harold Camping --Zero Hedge and Harold Camping--Zero Hedge and Harold Camping I need you, now -- grotesque fear to fill the malcontented many. Because i want more more more at $4. Yes, $4!!

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

BAC's $335 million settlement with the Justice Department

10 years ago: Banks only lend money based on applicants creditworthiness, so Obama and Eric Holder accuse  banks of discrimination because banks WILL NOT lend to minorities who are not creditworthy. They demand banks make risky sub prime loans, so all minorities can qualify.


Today: Obama and Eric Holder say  minorities had been unfairly charged higher fees or pushed into subprime loans by banks:

 "The department's action against Countrywide makes clear that we will not hesitate to hold financial institutions accountable, including one of the nation's largest, for lending discrimination," Eric Holder said in a statement. "These institutions should make judgments based on applicants' creditworthiness, not on the color of their skin. http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/271080/20111221/bac-bofa-stock-countrywide-settlement-rally-lawsuit.htm